Episode-2616- The Lessons America Should be Learning from CoVid-2019
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Today we are not really going to talk about CoVid-2019 directly but more what it has exposed as weaknesses in the United States, what we should learn from it, why we likely will not and what that means you should do. Hint on the last one, what you should do is mostly what I have said you should be doing for about 12 years now.
The truth about CoVid-2019 is that it is not nothing but it is nothing like what it is being made out to be. It is a respiratory virus and every year we have many such viruses that people get and are never even named. CoVid-2019 is already showing signs of obeying Farr’s Law and going into decline across the entire northern hemisphere.
Farr’s law was first formulated in 1840 by William Farr, one of the founders of modern epidemiology. It has since been ignored in every epidemic hysteria since, the law states that epidemics tend to rise and fall in a roughly symmetrical pattern or bell-shaped curve. AIDS, SARS, Ebola — they all followed that pattern. So does seasonal flu each year.
Like I said though this isn’t really about CoVid-2019 but rather the weaknesses it exposes. What concerns me most about the current situation is what a truly serious, high mortality pandemic would look like. Again this does not mean CoVid-2019 is a “nothing burger” rather that is is not as dangerous as claimed, so what is going to happen when something more dangerous then this is claimed to be, inevitability happens?
Lessons and Corrective Action from CoVid-2019
- Quote of the Day – “Emergencies’ have always been the pretext on which the safeguards of individual liberty have been eroded”. ~ F.A. Hayek
- The government is mostly unprepared for a disaster, how we could change that but why we won’t
- The American people are completely unprepared for a disaster, why that won’t change but why you should
- American corporations are mostly unprepared for a disaster why they may very well change that
- Yes the media is hyping this because they hate Trump and because they hype everything anyway
- Why I predict the current crisis will be relatively short and why that is bad in some ways
- Some opportunities that are coming from this
- Continuity of operations planning for corporations
- For every loser there is something on sale at a discount
- The very nature of this crisis means we know it will end
- Some real concerns I have of this crisis not going to waste
- I don’t think you will see a CoVid Vaccine rather a CoVid-Flu vaccine
- More gas on the fire for the war on cash
- More validation for government to have more “emergency power”
- The temptation to establish a “new normal” just like after 911
- The cry wolf response if we have something worse in the future
- The loss of many small businesses during even a relatively short disruption
- A perfect set up for a take over of socialism in the US
- Final Thoughts
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- TspAz.com
- Fortunate Son – CCR
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Thanks for this valuable podcast Jack. I am seeing what you are seeing. (You covered quite a bit)
Yes, not worried about water – got my Berkey from the Berkey Guy last year.
I am almost stone deaf to all the hype – media and other sources now. But the uprise of Nervous Nellies and Trembling Terries due to CO-19 I find obnoxious. Very unhelpful. I believe that the big problem will be the economy, and an opportunity to advance government power – socialist agenda. Also, hearing some background chatter about “how the government will help me out financially if I have employment problems due to CO-19”, etc. Perhaps the government will set up an Emergency Security Administration. Take some more out of workers pay checks. Nice podcast.
Yup, unfortunately history probably will rhyme here with what we saw after 9/11. Apart from the travel restrictions made with China, the US gov’t response to the outbreak has been largely inept (just as with the intelligence failures in the run-up to 9/11). And like with 9/11, the failures so far are almost all political and bureaucratic in nature as opposed to “not having the tools for the job”. And yet we will almost certainly see various gov’t & media hacks ignore the real failures and push the “give the gov’t the tools to do the job!” narrative instead. Enter more mass-surveillance, more restrictions on using cash, and more money and power thrown at the DHS and the intelligence community.
The fact that a clown-show like the Mongolian gov’t is doing ten times better than the US gov’t in their coordinated response to prevent local spread should be a f***ing embarrassment to the gov’t people making the decisions (note I am differentiating between them and the US medical experts doing the hard work). So yeah… if Mongolia’s gov’t is a clown-show, the US gov’t is that monkey flinging its poo at zoo visitors.
BTW, what you were saying about some businesses having to ride out a really hard period is probably spot on, as it seems to be the case here in Mongolia. For the past six weeks or so, just about all businesses except for the grocery stores have been losing business. Restaurants & hotels are getting hit hard as one might expect, retail stores are seeing a lot less traffic, and places like movie theaters, daycare centers, and gyms/fitness centers haven’t been allowed to operate AT ALL. A lot of the small operators who rent stalls and store space are getting pinched hard, with many just packing up and leaving.
Meanwhile the gov’t is scrambling to figure out ways (postponing tax payments, mandating rent reductions, etc.) to keep this economic recession from becoming a total economic cluster****. Could be that things won’t get this severe in the US (or at least parts thereof), but to not prepare for the possibility at this point is just foolish.
(Oh… and after confirming our first case yesterday, the city has now closed the majority of stores & shopping centers for the next five days. Pretty much just leaves only grocery stores, gas stations, and hospitals operating)
I totally cringed after hearing Jar Jar…. But once again, your point is completely spot on!
History will rhyme once again…
you mentioned the media taking goods off shelves to show empty shelves…and that you wanted to find it again…if this is what you are referring to, it is not real (it is real, it is just in ROMANIA and has nothing to do with the current Coronavirus situation)…you can find this on politifact. I tried to post the link, but your filter then considers my comment to be spam…search march 6th facebook post. romanian-conspiracy-theory-migrates-us-amid-corona
When I heard Jack say “Money is kinda dirty. How do you clean it? How do you wash it?”
My first thought was “You can always launder it….” 🙂
Jack if you or anyone else has links to the media related over hyping videos I would love to make a montage.