Comments

Episode-2637- The Expert Council Show for 4-10-20 — 4 Comments

  1. Two days ago the state of Ohio updated the forecast for peak infections from 10,000 to 2,000. Sounds good and suggests that we did flatten the curve. Except for the fact that would delay the peak timing which was desired for testing, developing treatments, getting PPE, etc. That’s not what happened.. The new projection for Ohio’s peak was actually moved up by about a week.

    I think this aligns with your theory that this virus has been here a lot longer. There is also the belief that the R0 is 5.7 instead of 2.4 (more contagious) but again as you eluded to means we have had the denominator for hospitalizations and deaths wrong.

  2. Darby Simpson’s observation is significant for those who market produce at farmer’s markets. If the food supply chain doesn’t improve significantly by June there will be significant demand at local markets.

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